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Hi there Forex News Trader :) I hope you are having a wonderful day :) Today was a very profitable day with the UK CPI trade :) Let's first review what happened earlier today. We had four reports that we were watching and possibly trading, let's talk about them in detail. First we have the UK CPI come out, which hit the trigger that I sent you yesterday, and caused a well over 100 pips overall move on GBP/USD. I hope you were able to make some pips on this, I sure did. Then we had the ZEW coming out of Euro Zone, and it was a no trade, because the deviation was too small. Then we had US CPI come out slightly lower than expected, I personally gave a long signal to my room, and gave them an exit with about +30-35 pips above the pre-release price, some made well over 20 pips, others broke even, some lost a few. All depended on their fill with their broker. Then we had New Zealand CPI come out pretty much as expected, which was a no trade either. To my surprise New Zealand Dollar strengthened pretty rapidly. Probably because low CPI reading would be the last hurdle that could stop a rate hike, and now since the CPI came out pretty high, even though as expected, people are now a lot more certain about possibility of a rate hike either next week or the month later. I strongly recommend that you watch my live trading videos of some of these trades to learn a lot. You can do that by going to this link: Rob Grespi from kingforexsignals.com struggled again. He kept trying to catch retracements on the very bullish GBP/USD, and came out with a loss of -9 pips for the day. Considering that GBP was so bullish, shorting it on every single trade, really took some skill to break even...I still have no idea why Rob decided to try riding retracements, instead of going with the very bullish sentiment. Good thing about Rob is when he is on, he is really on, and can make well over +100 pips for the day, when he is off, he usually is very close to break even, or very small losses. You can usually tell the competency of the trader, by the way he can manage his losses, not only the gains, and this guy is a real pro in my opinion, he keeps his losers and bad days very small, but when he makes it big, the gains are usually very large. You can watch his live trading videos by going to this link: http://www.kingforexsignals.com/tradedetails/0407 Tomorrow, we only have one possible trade, and that's BOE meeting minutes. 1. Wednesday, April 18th, 2007 (4:30 am New York Time) UK We have BOE minutes coming out of the UK. It's expected that in the last meeting, 7 out of 9 members voted for no hike. If the minutes come out with the vote at 5:4, that means that the hike this month is extremely likely, because it was already so close last month, and GBP/USD may possibly increase by 50 pips or more in the first 30 minutes of the report. If the vote was 9:0, it means that everyone was unanimous about not raising rates, and that decreases the chances for the rate hike this month, so GBP/USD may possibly decrease by 50 pips or more in the first 30 minutes of the report. I may even go long or short, even if the vote is less dramatic, but that will depend on where the price is at before the report. That's all for tomorrow. Remember, tomorrow is Wednesday, so I'll be taking a few people from the waiting list into kingforexsignals.com If you wanted a chance to get in at a highly discounted scholarship special, make sure you put yourself on the waiting list, which can be joined by following this link: The special scholarship link will go out tomorrow, Wednesday, at 11:00 pm New York Time. That's all for tomorrow. To Our Success! -Felix Homogratus
1617 Broadway St., Suite 1001
New York, NY 10002
USA
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Hi there Forex News Trader :) Sorry for delay in sending this signal. It's been a pretty busy day here. Let's first review what happened earlier today. We had Retail Sales coming out and TIC report coming out of the US. Unfortunately, the numbers came out pretty much as expected, so there were no trades. I do strongly believe that you will learn a lot of useful information by watching the videos from today's session. To watch the videos, you can go to this link: http://www.forexdiamonds.com/performance Rob Grespi from kingforexsignals.com did pretty well today. He made +39 pips over both the London and New York sessions. Most of the profits were made during the London session. New York session was very slow. You can see detailed performance and watch his live trading videos by going to this link: Let's now talk about what's going on tomorrow, Tuesday. Tomorrow is huge... 1. Tuesday, April 17th, 2007 (4:30 am New York Time) UK We are starting the day with UK CPI. There are three different numbers. There is the month over month CPI, there is the year over year CPI, and there is the core CPI. I believe that the most important number that most traders and economists will be focusing on is the CPI headline year over year number, which is expected at around 2.8%, same as it was last month. If for some reason the number comes out at 3.1% or higher, it would set a new high in many years, and a possibility of a rate hike out of UK will probalby be considered imminent, so GBP/USD may possibly go up by 80 pips or more in the first hour of the report. If the CPI reads at 2.4% or lower, it would be a huge drop, and most would probably assume that the Bank of England will have to think twice before hiking the rate anytime soon, so GBP/USD may possibly go down by 80 pips or more in the first hour. The size of the move will also largely d epend on the levels that the GBP/USD is at before the reading. If the price is too close to the dreaded 2.00 level, it may very well bounce off of it, and the move may be muted. I am personally going to be using less conservative triggers than these, and you are welcome to do so too, just consider that the lesser the trigger, the smaller the move will probably be. 2. Tuesday, April 17th, 2007 (5:00 am New York Time) GERMANY Then we have German ZEW report coming out, which is expected at around 10.0 on the economic sentiment side. Big deviations on this report are extremely rare, and even when they happen, the move on the EUR/USD is not that big. So if the number comes out at 30.0 or higher, it would not only be the strongest reading in over 6 months, but also a huge shock, so EUR/USD may possibly go up by 40 pips or more in the first hour of the report. If the number comes out at -10 or more negative, it would also be a shock, because out of all the economists' opinions that I looked at, and it was close to 50, not one is expecting a negative reading. So with a reading of -10 or more negative, EUR/USD may possibly go down by 40 pips or more. 3. Tuesday, April 17th, 2007 (8:30 am New York Time) USA Then we have CPI report coming out of the US. We have quite a few numbers, but the most important one will probably be month over month core CPI, which is expected at 0.2%. A reading of 0.4% or higher, would be the highest reading since November of 2001, and would mean that inflation is getting out of control, so US may think twice before cutting rates, so GBP/USD may possibly go down by 70 pips or more in the first hour of the report. If the reading comes out flat, meaning 0%, it would be the first flat reading since June of 2005, and would mean that inflation is really subsiding, so US will most likely cut the rate, in order to help the housing market recover, so GBP/USD may possibly go up by 70 pips or more. The move and the sentiment of this report may largely depend on the UK CPI that's coming out few hours earlier, so trading this report may be a bit different than normal, especially if we have something extremely surprising c ome out of UK. We also do have housing starts and building permits coming out at the same time, though I think if anything, a conflicting number on those may simply provide a great retracement entry opportunity, especially if my CPI triggers are hit. I may also trade with smaller triggers on this one, depending on where the price is at before the report, and how the UK CPI reacted. 4. Tuesday, April 17th, 2007 (9:15 am New York Time) USA Then we have Industrial Production coming out of the US, which is expected to come out flat at 0%. The way to trade this report, will largely depend on what the CPI will do, so I won't comment further on it. 5. Tuesday, April 17th, 2007 (6:45 pm New York Time) NEW ZEALAND Then we have CPI coming out of New Zealand, the timing of each is also huge, since there is again a 50/50 chance or so, that New Zealand will do another interest rate hike on April 25th, which is next week. New Zealand CPI is a quarterly report that graces us with its presence only 4 times per year. This time around it's coming out for the first quarter of 2007, and is expected to come out at around 0.6%, which is pretty normal for quarterly inflation for New Zealand. If it comes out at 1.0% or higher, NZD/USD may possibly go up by 50 pips or more in the first 30 minutes of the report. If it comes out at 0.2% or lower, NZD/USD may possibly go down by 50 pips or more in the first 30 minutes of the report. Like on other reports, I may decide to use less conservative triggers, depending on where the price is at as we get closer to the report. That's all for tomorrow :) I am SUPER excited about tomorrow. Quite a few things happening, and all of these CPI reports can be huge market movers. To Our Success! -Felix Homogratus
1617 Broadway St., Suite 1001
New York, NY 10002
USA
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Hi Traders, I hope you are having a great day. Let's first review what happened earlier today. We had three things happening on the economic scale. We had Bernanke speaking at 1:00 pm, then we had FOMC meeting minutes at 2:00 pm, then we had Australian Employment at 9:00 pm NY Time. Bernanke didn't comment on the economy. FOMC minutes came out surprisingly hawkish, where the Fed reflected a possible necessity of another rate hike. The move was a bit weird. First, GBP/USD went up from 1.9765 to 1.9775, then it dropped eventually to about 1.9725. Then we had Australian employment coming out a bit worse than expected, though the unemployment rate came out surprisingly low, so that was a bit of a conflict, and the deviation from expectations wasn't significant enough to trade. Rob Grespi from kingforexsignals.com struggled throughout London and New York sessions. He took quite a few trades, but mostly small losers, which ended his performance at -40 pips for today. You can watch his live trading videos by going to this link: http://www.kingforexsignals.com/tradedetails/0407 Let's now talk about what's going on tomorrow, Thursday. That's by far the busiest day of the week. 1. Thursday, April 12th, 2007 (4:30 am New York Time) UK
We have UK Trade Balance coming out of the UK, which is expected to come out at around -6.4 billion. More negative number may have a negative effect on the pound, so GBP/USD may possibly go down short term. Less negative number may have a positive effect on the pound, so GBP/USD may possibly go up short term. If the trade balance reads at -8.2 billion or more negative, it would be the most negative reading in many years, and GBP/USD may possibly go down by 50 pips or so in the first 30 minutes of the report. If the trade balance reads at -5.0 billion or more positive, that would be an extremely positive reading, and GBP/USD may possibly go up by 50 pips or so in the first 30 minutes of the report. Obviously you can use less conservative triggers to trade this one. The smaller the triggers, the smaller the move that may happen. 2. Thursday, April 12th, 2007 (7:45 am New York Time) E-12 Then we have Euro Zone, scheduled to release their interest rate statement. They are expecting to leave the rate unchanged at 3.75%. If for some reason there is a hike to 4.0%, EUR/USD may possibly go up by 100 pips or more in the first hour of the report. Cut is nearly impossible, so I wouldn't even look for it. Hike is almost extremely unlikely, euro zone is known to be extremely predictable with their interest rates. There have never been any surprises with them, at least as far as my memory goes. 3. Thursday, April 12th, 2007 (8:30 am New York Time) E-12 Then we have Trichet speaking, giving accompanying comments to the interest rate statement. If you have little experience trading, and you are not member of my forexdiamonds.com room, then skip this one. The move will depend on what he says, but basically if he is hinting towards more hikes in the near future, EUR/USD may possibly go up, and if he is hinting towards no hikes, and stresses that they need to see how the economy is performing, EUR/USD may possibly go down. 4. Thursday, April 12th, 2007 (6:45 pm New York Time) NEW ZEALAND Then we have New Zealand coming out with their retail sales numbers, that are roughly expected at 0.5%. A reading of -0.5% or more negative will signify the lowest reading March of 2006, and NZD/USD may possibly go down by 50 pips or more in the first 30 minutes of the report. If the reading is at 1.5% or higher, it would probably be good for the New Zealand dollar, and NZD/USD may possibly go up by 50 pips or more in the first 30 minutes of the report. You can of course use less conservative triggers, and expect smaller moves as always. That's all for tomorrow :) Remember, tomorrow is Thursday, and at 11:00 pm New York Time, I will be taking few more people into my forexdiamonds.com room at a heavy discounted scholarship special, if you wanted a chance to get in, make sure you are on the waiting list, which can be joined on this link, and wait for the email at 11:00 pm New York Time tomorrow. Here is the link to join the waiting list: To Our Success! -Felix Homogratus
1617 Broadway St., Suite 1001
New York, NY 10002
USA
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Hi there Forex News Trader,
I hope you are having a great day :) We had no tradable news reports yesterday, so nothing to review there. Rob Grespi from kingforexsignals.com just came back from vacation and had his first trading day yesterday. He took only 4 trades, two losers, one winner, and one break even trade, for a total loss of -22 pips for the day. You can watch his live trading videos by going to this link: Okay, let's now talk about tomorrow. We do have a couple of things going on fundamentally. 1. Wednesday, April 11th (1:00 pm to 2:00 pm NY Time) USA We do have Ben Bernanke making a speech about market discipline and regulation. That starts at 1:00 pm, and it will be followed by FOMC meeting minutes at 2:00 pm. I personally will be watching and possibly trading both events in my forexdiamonds.com room. So if you are a member, I'll see you there. But I am really not expecting anything good out of it. The Fed is all mixed up, and the FOMC minutes is the old stuff that came in before the recent super strong non-farm payroll reading. The recent non-farm payroll reading literally has shifted expectations of a rate cut in this quarter from 80% to about 10%. So I think large portions of the minutes will be disregarded by the markets. So honestly, I have nothing to tell you here, because the trading decisions will have to be made as things unfold in the speeches. If anything, just stay out of the markets during those times. 2. Wednesday, April 11th, (9:30 pm New York Time) AUSTRALIA Then we have employment change coming out of Australia, along with their unemployment rate. Australian employment consensus has been very steady in the last few months, at around 15K. So they are expecting that in the month of March, there were around 15,000 new jobs added in Australia. If the number comes out at 54K or higher, it would be the highest reading since April of 2004, and AUD/USD may possibly increase by 70 pips or more in the first hour of the report. If the number reads at -32K or more negative, it would be the lowest number since September of 2005, and AUD/USD may possibly decrease by 70 pips or more in the first hour of the report. Remember, next time Australia releases interest rates, there is about a 50/50 chance of a hike, and whether RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) decides to hike the rates or hold it, will largely depend on the health of their jobs market. So the timing of this indicator is crucial, and the level of price unwinding will largely depend on where the AUD/USD is trading before the report. If you like, you can of course use smaller triggers for this trade, to get a smaller move of 70 pips. That's what I would probably do. My triggers will largely depend on the price situation before the report. Also...please be aware of the unemployment rate, which is expected at 4.6%. If it conflicts by 0.2% or more, I would be extra careful. Remember, tomorrow is Wednesday, and if you wanted to get into kingforexsignals.com at a heavily discounted scholarship special price, make sure you are on the waitig list, and wait for special email at 11:00 pm New York Time. You can join the waiting list by going to this link: To Our Success! -Felix Homogratus
1617 Broadway St., Suite 1001
New York, NY 10002
USA
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I hope you are having a fantastic day :) As you probably know from my yesterday's email, there was nothing I was watching or trading today, and there are really no tradable economic news reports tomorrow.
However, since I send these emails on regular, daily basis, and it's extremely rare when we have a day without tradable news reports, I wanted to keep the tradition, and still send you this signal, basically letting you know that we had no trades today, and not going to have any trades tomorrow.
Also, just a reminder that tonight, at 11:00 pm New York Time, I will be taking few more people for the Secret News Weapon at a heavily discounted scholarship special, so if you wanted to get in, make sure you are on the waiting list, which can be joined through this link: http://www.secretnewsweapon.com/buyit.html
That's all, wait for my signal tomorrow, because we will have some very nice trading possibilities on Wednesday.
To Our Success!
-Felix Homogratus
1617 Broadway St., Suite 1001
New York, NY 10002
USA
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